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Buffalo visits Ball State on Wednesday, Nov. 11, in a MAC game with standings implications. The supplied CBS Sports preview lists Buffalo as a 1.5-point favorite and backs the Bulls to cover, while noting that its model projects a 31-25 Buffalo win. The game is scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET.
Buffalo visits Ball State on Wednesday, Nov. 11, in a Week 11 Mid-American Conference matchup, with the Bulls entering on a four-game winning streak and listed as a slight road favorite. A CBS Sports betting preview recommends Buffalo -1.5 and reports a projected 31-25 Bulls win from SportsLine’s model; the result and final game-day odds were not available in the supplied material.
The preview lists Buffalo at -1.5 on the point spread, with a money line of -115. Ball State is listed at +106 on the money line, and the game total is 51.5 points (Over -105, Under -115). Those prices are attributed to DraftKings in the article and can change before kickoff. The source contains an inconsistency: an introductory passage says Buffalo is a 1.5-point favorite, while a later passage gives the spread as 2.5 points. Its betting-pick section uses Buffalo -1.5.
Buffalo’s recent run followed a 2-3 start, according to the preview. The Bulls won their last four games, including a 34-31 overtime victory over Miami (Ohio) the previous week after trailing by 15 in the fourth quarter. Wide receiver Chance Morrow had 199 receiving yards in that game. Quarterback Jason Wright threw for 358 yards and two touchdowns and added two rushing touchdowns in the win, the report says.
Ball State comes off a 31-30 overtime loss at Massachusetts, in which a missed extra point proved decisive, according to the preview. Freshman running back Jalen Bonds recorded 132 rushing yards and two touchdowns. The article lists the Cardinals at 2-3 in MAC play and says they have a 11-3 advantage in the all-time series, though Buffalo won the most recent meeting, 51-48, in 2024.
MAC Standings Raise the Stakes
The matchup has conference implications for both teams. The preview says Buffalo is one game behind Ohio in the MAC standings, while Ball State is two games behind Buffalo. A win would give the Bulls another opportunity to keep pressure on the conference leader; a Ball State win could narrow the gap between the teams. The supplied source does not provide a complete standings table or explain tiebreaker scenarios.
For readers following the betting market, the short spread makes the preview’s recommendation a close-game call rather than a prediction of a clear mismatch. Buffalo’s recent one-score wins and Ball State’s narrow overtime loss are relevant recent results, but they do not establish how Wednesday’s game will unfold.
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Recent Results and Series History
Buffalo’s four-game streak includes three wins by a single possession, according to CBS Sports, culminating in the comeback overtime win over Miami (Ohio). That record supports the report’s view that the Bulls have been competitive late in games, while also showing that their recent wins have been close. The preview says Buffalo averaged 28.3 points per game during the streak.
Ball State had won two straight before its overtime defeat at Massachusetts. The series history favors the Cardinals, 11-3 all time, according to the source, but the most recent result went Buffalo’s way. The listed kickoff is 7:30 p.m. ET; the source’s publication information also displays 6:00 p.m. ET, apparently as a page timestamp rather than the game time.
Spread and Game-Day Details
The supplied preview does not include a final score, confirmed game-day injury information, or an updated market close. Its spread figures conflict: one section says Buffalo is favored by 1.5 points, and another says 2.5 points. The stated pick and the initial odds listing both use Buffalo -1.5, but readers should check a sportsbook for current prices. No direct quotations from coaches or players appear in the source material.
The preview attributes a 31-25 projection to the SportsLine Projection Model and says Buffalo covered in 59% of simulations. That is a model estimate, not a confirmed outcome or guarantee. The supplied material does not detail the model’s assumptions or simulation methodology.
Kickoff and Result to Watch
The game is scheduled to begin Wednesday, Nov. 11, at 7:30 p.m. ET. The next confirmed development will be the result on the field; the supplied source does not identify a broadcast outlet or provide a postgame update. The odds may move before kickoff, so the figures in the preview should be treated as time-specific rather than live prices.
After the game, the outcome will clarify whether Buffalo extends its winning streak and keeps pace in the MAC race, or whether Ball State closes the standings gap. Any assessment of the final conference picture will depend on other results and the league’s standings and tiebreakers.
Key Questions
When is Buffalo vs. Ball State?
The game is scheduled for Wednesday, Nov. 11, 2026, at 7:30 p.m. ET, according to the supplied preview.
What odds does the preview list?
It lists Buffalo at -1.5 and -115 on the money line, Ball State at +106, and the total at 51.5. The article also contains a conflicting 2.5-point spread reference, so check current listings.
What is the betting pick?
The preview recommends Buffalo -1.5. It reports that the SportsLine model projects a 31-25 Buffalo win and has the Bulls covering in 59% of simulations; those figures are a prediction, not a result.
How have the teams performed recently?
Buffalo enters with four consecutive wins, including a 34-31 overtime comeback against Miami (Ohio). Ball State lost 31-30 in overtime at Massachusetts after winning its previous two games.
Source: cbssports.com
